Match FC BW Linz vs WSG Wattens April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +12.2% better than the market.

FC BW Linz hosts WSG Wattens in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Despite Linz's home momentum and a slightly better recent points rate, Wattens' stronger overall profile and more potent attack suggest they can challenge effectively. The home side's defensive solidity faces a test against Wattens' sharper offensive edge, hinting at a tactical battle.

WSG Wattens' attacking threat versus Linz's defense
Home side's recent form slightly better but less consistent
Moderate pace expected with a tendency toward a tight scoreline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIN 3-4-1-2 · WAT 3-4-3

LIN · 3-4-1-2 3-4-3 · WAT

9 Ronivaldo

📊 Statistics

LIN 5 – 0 WAT

53%

Possession (%)

47%

3.13

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC BW Linz beat WSG Wattens 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.13 to 0.16. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 3, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 3.13 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.75 units (Brier 0.261).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.83	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	56%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.35	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.25	—	36%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.84	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.06	—	39%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.62	—	36%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.57	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	65%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.60	—	20%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.75u	−10% ROI