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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Standard Liege — KVC Westerlo

Predictions Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
D L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
Home Win · STA
30%
Best 2.38
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · WES
43%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.85
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.85 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 50%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.1%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STA – WES @ 3.85
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →