Match TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg April 5, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.47 — +12.3% better than the market.

Red Bull Salzburg carry a clear quality edge into this clash, with a stronger attack likely to challenge Hartberg's defense. The home side's recent form shows resilience but their defensive frailties could be exposed by Salzburg's pressing and pace. Expect a tactical battle where Salzburg's offensive threat and Hartberg's compact block will be key.

Salzburg's attacking edge against Hartberg's defense
Home momentum tempered by defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 76% Implied 68% +0.47u

+47%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAR 5-3-2 · SAL 4-2-3-1

HAR · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · SAL

7 Havel

📊 Statistics

HAR 1 – 2 SAL

38%

Possession (%)

62%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.06

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

68%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Red Bull Salzburg won 2–1 away at TSV Hartberg. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 1.19. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 14, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.63 units (Brier 0.120).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.14	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.63	—	65%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.35	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.77	—	45%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	44%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	76%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.23	—	65%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	87%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	68%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Home Win	5.75	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.33	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.63u	−33% ROI

Match TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.47 — +12.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled