Match Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis April 5, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.88 — +15.0% better than the market.

Levadiakos enter this clash with clear momentum, boasting a strong home form and a significant quality edge over Aris Thessalonikis. Their offensive strength matches well against Aris' defensive setup, suggesting Levadiakos can control the game tempo. Aris, struggling for consistency and with a weaker attack, may find it tough to break down a compact home block.

Home momentum and superior quality
Effective offensive vs defensive matchup favoring Levadiakos
Likely controlled pace with fewer goals expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.88 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 35% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEV 4-1-4-1 · ARI 4-4-2

LEV · 4-1-4-1 4-4-2 · ARI

9 Ožbolt

📊 Statistics

LEV 1 – 1 ARI

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Levadiakos and Aris Thessalonikis drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.48 units (Brier 0.160).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.85	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	—	67%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.57	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.45	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.07	—	39%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.17	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	77%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.10	—	29%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.45	—	60%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.55	—	53%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	3.17	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.23	—	84%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	86%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.57	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.48u	−20% ROI