Match WSG Wattens vs Wolfsberger AC April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.37 — +10.1% better than the market.

WSG Wattens host Wolfsberger AC in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge. Wolfsberger's stronger attack faces a home defense that has been resilient, suggesting a tactical battle. Wattens' recent form shows signs of revival, while Wolfsberger struggles for consistency, hinting at a tight contest. The balanced goal environment and cautious pace imply a match where defensive discipline could dominate.

Wolfsberger's offensive edge vs Wattens' solid backline
Home momentum from Wattens' improved form
Moderate pace favoring compact defensive setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.37 ✗ Lost

AI 80% Implied 73% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WAT 3-4-1-2 · WOL 4-2-3-1

WAT · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · WOL

9 Ola-Adebomi

📊 Statistics

WAT 3 – 1 WOL

46%

Possession (%)

54%

2.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.60

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

WSG Wattens beat Wolfsberger AC 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.70 to 0.60. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 6 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.25 units (Brier 0.309).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.97	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.51	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.17	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.83	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	46%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	—	40%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.07	—	26%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.83	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	52%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Home Win	2.85	—	26%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	86%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	65%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.25u	−7% ROI