Match FC Zurich vs FC Thun March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.95 — +14.4% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong form run and a notable quality edge over FC Zurich. Their offensive prowess challenges Zurich's defense, which has struggled recently. Meanwhile, Zurich's home advantage is limited by their poor recent results and a defensive line vulnerable to Thun's attack. Expect a match where Thun's pressing and sharper attack could dominate the pace, potentially leading to goals.

Thun's superior quality and form
Zurich's defensive struggles at home
Likely open game with attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ZUR 3-4-3 · THU 4-4-2

ZUR · 3-4-3 4-4-2 · THU

8 Cavaleiro

📊 Statistics

ZUR 2 – 1 THU

43%

Possession (%)

57%

0.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

59%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Zurich beat FC Thun 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 70% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.64 to 0.82. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.97 units (Brier 0.245).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.95	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.75	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.68	—	63%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.93	—	41%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.45	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.52	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.53	—	58%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	59%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.95	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	80%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.02	—	18%	Cashed	+2.02	Cashed
Home Win	4.17	—	18%	Cashed	+3.17	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.97u	−6% ROI