Match FC Basel 1893 vs Servette FC March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.38 — +11.2% better than the market.

FC Basel 1893 hosts Servette FC in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Basel's home momentum and compact defensive setup could keep things tight. Basel's recent form shows resilience, while Servette's attack faces a disciplined backline, suggesting a cautious tempo. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Basel's home defensive solidity counters Servette's attacking threat.
Servette's slight quality advantage balanced by Basel's home form.
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations and recent draws.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.38 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAS 4-2-3-1 · SER 4-4-1-1

BAS · 4-2-3-1 4-4-1-1 · SER

37 Koloto

📊 Statistics

BAS 3 – 1 SER

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Basel 1893 beat Servette FC 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.79. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.79 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.96 units (Brier 0.207).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.38	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.48	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.46	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	53%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Home Win	2.12	—	38%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.54	—	32%	Cashed	+1.54	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.53	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.29	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.62	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	38%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	76%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.96u	−23% ROI