Match FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen March 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.12 — +14.5% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a notable quality edge over FC ST. Gallen. Their home defense is robust, likely to challenge St. Gallen’s attack which, while decent, faces a tough test. Expect a lively pace given the goal-friendly odds, with Thun’s pressing and set-piece threat potentially decisive.

Home side’s unbeaten streak fuels confidence
St. Gallen’s attack faces a compact, disciplined defense
Match tempo hints at open play and scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.12 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-3-1-2 · GAL 3-1-4-2

THU · 4-3-1-2 3-1-4-2 · GAL

96 Labeau

📊 Statistics

THU 2 – 2 GAL

51%

Possession (%)

49%

2.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

68%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun and FC ST. Gallen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.69 to 1.36. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.67 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.12	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.28	—	43%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS No	2.70	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.65	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.55	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	46%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.45	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	78%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	—	64%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.46	—	65%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	84%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	24%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.33	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.67u	−16% ROI