Match VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic February 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 3.00 — +10.0% better than the market.

VfB Stuttgart vs Celtic prediction
Stuttgart look the more reliable side overall and should have the edge at home, with better control of territory and a clearer attacking structure. Celtic are in decent form and can still hurt teams if they find space early, but their away defending has been vulnerable and that’s a tough profile against a home team that can sustain pressure. The most likely outcome is a Stuttgart win, with goals more likely than a cagey, low-event game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 3.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 36% Implied 33% +2.00u

+200%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-4-1-1 · CEL 4-2-3-1

STU · 4-4-1-1 4-2-3-1 · CEL

8 Tomás

📊 Statistics

STU 0 – 1 CEL

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic won 1–0 away at VfB Stuttgart. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.86 to 0.30. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 3, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 7. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 5 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.40 units (Brier 0.402).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 5 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.80	—	54%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	7.10	—	16%	Cashed	+6.10	Cashed
Draw	5.50	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.10	—	34%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.20	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.10	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.40	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.20	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	1.70	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.40	—	36%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.00	—	36%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 9 L	+3.40u	+24% ROI