Match FC Winterthur vs FC Thun February 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.17 — +3.1% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with strong momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over FC Winterthur. The visitors' potent attack is likely to challenge Winterthur's defense, which has struggled lately. Despite Winterthur's home familiarity, Thun's pressing and clinical finishing could dominate this encounter.

Thun's superior form and offensive threat
Winterthur's defensive vulnerabilities
Likely open game with scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 88% Implied 85% +0.17u

+17%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WIN 3-4-1-2 · THU 4-2-2-2

WIN · 3-4-1-2 4-2-2-2 · THU

99 Burkart

📊 Statistics

WIN 0 – 3 THU

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

68%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun won 3–0 away at FC Winterthur. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.49. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 13, 6 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.20 units (Brier 0.099).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.85	—	62%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.54	—	47%	Cashed	+1.54	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.80	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.04	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.99	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.56	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.49	—	69%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Under 0.5	23.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.21	—	69%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	58%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	77%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Home Win	6.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.45	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.20u	−31% ROI