Match Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda February 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 3.78 — +10.0% better than the market.

Lille look the more stable side in this matchup, especially in how they control games and create the cleaner chances, while FK Crvena Zvezda have relied more on tight spells and moments rather than sustained pressure. The most likely script is Lille taking the initiative and spending longer in the final third, with the away team needing a very compact shape and efficient counters to stay level. Goals look more likely than a cagey stalemate, but the game still projects as one where Lille have the best path to the result.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0

AH Away 0 @ 3.78 ✓ Cashed

AI 30% Implied 27% +2.78u

+278%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIL 4-2-3-1 · CRV 3-4-2-1

LIL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · CRV

7 Fernández

📊 Statistics

LIL 0 – 1 CRV

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FK Crvena Zvezda won 1–0 away at Lille. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.59 to 0.44. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +2.96 units (Brier 0.299).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.78	—	30%	Cashed	+2.78	Cashed
Away Win	5.18	—	30%	Cashed	+4.18	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.24	—	53%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.81	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	70%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.12	—	45%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	44%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+2.96u	+20% ROI