Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen February 18, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.70
✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 30% · book 3.78
✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 41% · book 2.60
✗
xG (open play)
0.87 – 1.95
Δ −1.08
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 2.60 — +10.0% better than the market.
Two in-form sides meet, but Olympiakos have the stronger home platform and look better suited to control the key moments when the game swings. Leverkusen can be dangerous when it turns into a transition battle, yet they can be dragged into messy stretches and lose territory. That points to a tight contest where Olympiakos are slightly better placed to edge the decisive phases, while the draw is very live if both teams stay disciplined and avoid opening the game too early.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.60
✗ Lost
AI 41%
Implied 39%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
OLY 4-2-3-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
OLY 0
– 2 BAY
0.87
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.95
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
Match recap
Bayer Leverkusen won 2–0 away at Olympiakos Piraeus. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.87. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 1 on target.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.53 units (Brier 0.208).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 7 W · 8 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.70 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.78 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.60 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.30 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.46 |
— |
71% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.44 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.97 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.21 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.21 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.00 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.36 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.36 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.57 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.96 |
— |
29% |
Cashed |
+1.96 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.85 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.30 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 8 L |
−2.53u |
−17% ROI |
