Match FC Sion vs FC Basel 1893 February 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.49 — +9.9% better than the market.

FC Basel 1893 holds a slight quality edge and offensive advantage, but FC Sion's home momentum and solid defensive shape could keep this tight. Basel's sharper attack faces a resilient Sion defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Sion slightly, adding to their compact block confidence at Stade de Tourbillon.

Basel's attacking threat vs Sion's disciplined defense
Home momentum from Sion's unbeaten streak
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.49 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 67% +0.49u

+49%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIO 4-3-3 · BAS 4-2-3-1

SIO · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BAS

7 Chouaref

📊 Statistics

SIO 2 – 0 BAS

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Sion beat FC Basel 1893 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 0.78. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 15, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.15 units (Brier 0.209).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.50	—	48%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.22	—	53%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Away Win	2.54	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.88	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.80	—	29%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.68	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.02	—	29%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.49	—	74%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.51	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	54%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	69%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.15u	−13% ROI