Match Scotland vs Denmark November 18, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Tue 18 Nov · 19:45
4:2
Full-time
Referee Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.90
✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 34% · book 4.00
✓
Miss
AH Home -2
AH Home -2
AI 10% · book 16.00
✗
AI accuracy
10 / 21
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 3.50 — +9.0% better than the market.
Denmark bring the cleaner structure and shot control, but Scotland’s home push and set-pieces keep this tight. Safer angles back the visitors not to lose; totals lean slightly over if the game opens after halftime.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.50
✓ Cashed
AI 31%
Implied 29%
+2.50u
⛀ Lineups
SCO 4-1-4-1 · DEN 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
SCO 4
– 2 DEN
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
Match recap
Scotland beat Denmark 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 21 graded markets, 10 landed and 11 missed, for a net +4.88 units (Brier 0.219).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
21 · 10 W · 11 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.90 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.90 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
4.00 |
— |
34% |
Cashed |
+3.00 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -2 |
16.00 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -1 |
6.40 |
— |
20% |
Cashed |
+5.40 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.17 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+1.17 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
3.50 |
— |
31% |
Cashed |
+2.50 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.38 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.38 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.44 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.44 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.08 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.08 |
Cashed
|
| Home Team Total Under 0.5 |
9.00 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.70 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.35 |
— |
69% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.60 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.31 |
— |
73% |
Cashed |
+0.31 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.29 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.29 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.80 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.25 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
9.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.42 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.00 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 21 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 11 L |
+4.88u |
+23% ROI |