Match Bulgaria vs Georgia November 18, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Tue 18 Nov · 19:45
2:1
Full-time
Referee Jakob Kehlet, Denmark
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.04
✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 32% · book 3.90
✗
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 12.20
✗
AI accuracy
9 / 19
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks AH Home +2 at 1.21 — +10.0% better than the market.
Georgia should control most phases and create the clearer chances. Bulgaria struggle to score and concede often; away side to avoid defeat is the safest angle, with unders live if Georgia manage the game early.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home +2
AH Home +2 @ 1.21
✓ Cashed
AI 92%
Implied 83%
+0.21u
⛀ Lineups
BUL 4-5-1 · GEO 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
BUL 2
– 1 GEO
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
Match recap
Bulgaria beat Georgia 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 78% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net +1.62 units (Brier 0.253).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
19 · 9 W · 10 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.04 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.90 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
12.20 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.00 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home +2 |
1.21 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
5.70 |
— |
19% |
Cashed |
+4.70 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
10.50 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.40 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.72 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.28 |
— |
76% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.05 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.32 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.32 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.20 |
— |
81% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
3.90 |
— |
24% |
Cashed |
+2.90 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.28 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.28 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.90 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.90 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.10 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.85 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.85 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 10 L |
+1.62u |
+9% ROI |
