Match Wales vs Macedonia November 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.15 — +9.7% better than the market.

Wales should edge this at home with more control and set-piece threat, while Macedonia’s unbeaten streak gives them live counterpunch chances. Expect a measured game with Wales on the front foot and the visitors dangerous in spells.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.15 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WAL 4-1-4-1 · MAC 5-3-2

WAL · 4-1-4-1 5-3-2 · MAC

8 Wilson

📊 Statistics

WAL 7 – 1 MAC

71%

Possession (%)

29%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Wales beat Macedonia 7–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net -2.38 units (Brier 0.190).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

19 · 9 W · 10 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.26	—	46%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	74%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Away +1	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	92%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.27	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.04	—	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
BTTS No	1.76	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.77	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.30	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.12	—	45%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.33	—	22%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.81	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.88	—	49%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	75%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.15	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.28	—	49%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 19 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 10 L	−2.38u	−13% ROI