Match Montenegro vs Croatia November 17, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.87 — +5.0% better than the market.

Croatia arrive in ruthless form and should control territory, chance volume, and tempo. Montenegro’s path is set-plays and sporadic counters, but the visitors’ pressing and ball circulation point to an away win in a game trending above average for chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MON 2 – 3 CRO

37%

Possession (%)

63%

12

Total Shots

17

5

Shots on Target

7

5

Shots off Target

5

Shots Inside Box

14

5

Corner Kicks

3

2

Offsides

0

17

Fouls

16

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

3

Yellow Cards

1

4

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match recap

Croatia won 3–2 away at Montenegro. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.96 units (Brier 0.131).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

18 · 9 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	3.02	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.30	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +2	1.36	—	85%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	36%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	58%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	79%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Away Win	1.47	—	66%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Draw	4.83	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.12	—	86%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	44%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.14	—	66%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Home 0	5.75	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 18 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 9 L	−3.96u	−22% ROI