Match Türkiye vs Bulgaria November 15, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.91 — +14.6% better than the market.

Turkey should control possession and shot volume at home. Bulgaria’s path is deep defending, transitional bursts and set-pieces. Expect a host-led tempo and a scoreline that stays manageable unless an early goal opens the game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TUR 4-2-3-1 · BUL 4-5-1

TUR · 4-2-3-1 4-5-1 · BUL

7 Aktürkoğlu

📊 Statistics

TUR 2 – 0 BUL

67%

Possession (%)

33%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Türkiye beat Bulgaria 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 6. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.27 units (Brier 0.103).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.91	—	60%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	1.08	—	89%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	12.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.02	—	90%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	8.78	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.90	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.46	—	60%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	23.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.13	—	85%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 1.5	7.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.10	—	38%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.04	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	36.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.27u	−28% ROI