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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Luxembourg — Germany

Predictions Luxembourg vs Germany November 14, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 14 Nov · 19:45
0:2
Full-time
Germany
Germany
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee John Brooks, England
VALUE
Home Win · LUX
4%
Best 25.00
Draw
9%
Best 10.50
Away Win · GER
88%
Best 1.10
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 9.00
Fair odds
8.00
book 9.00 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 13% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (96%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Longshot value
Probability 4%
Odds 40.00
Show model details
Implied probability 2.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw Longshot value
Probability 8.5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 87.5%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality High
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5 Longshot value
Probability 4%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 90%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 26%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 28%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 3 markets
✓ AH Home +2
Probability 35%
Odds 3.11
Show model details
Implied probability 32.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 4%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 87.5%
Odds 1.01
Show model details
Implied probability 99%
Bet quality High
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Longshot value
Probability 12.5%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 96%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
LUX – GER @ 9.00
+12.5%
Edge
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