Match Finland vs Malta November 14, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Fri 14 Nov · 17:00
0:1
Full-time
Malta
L
D
L
W
L
Away · last 5
Referee Julian Weinberger, Austria
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 75% · book 1.26
✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 66% · book 1.55
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 17% · book 6.50
✗
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.50 — +10.0% better than the market.
Finland should control at home while Malta struggle to create clear chances. Expect the hosts to push for an early lead, manage tempo once ahead, and keep the visitors at arm’s length.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.50
✓ Cashed
AI 70%
Implied 67%
+0.50u
⛀ Lineups
FIN 4-1-4-1 · MAL 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
FIN 0
– 1 MAL
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
Match recap
Malta won 1–0 away at Finland. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 4, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.31 units (Brier 0.349).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
16 · 7 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
1.26 |
— |
75% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
1.55 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.55 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
6.50 |
— |
17% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
16.00 |
— |
8% |
Cashed |
+15.00 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.55 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
14.90 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.23 |
— |
78% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.50 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+3.50 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.74 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.27 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+1.27 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.75 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
4.45 |
— |
25% |
Cashed |
+3.45 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.04 |
— |
75% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 9 L |
+15.31u |
+96% ROI |
