Match Moldova vs Italy November 13, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.98 — +10.0% better than the market.

Italy come in rampant while Moldova struggle at both boxes. Expect the visitors to dominate territory, create waves of chances, and allow very little in return. Game script points to an early Italian lead and controlled finishing without much jeopardy.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.98 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 51% +0.98u

+98%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOL 5-3-2 · ITA 4-2-3-1

MOL · 5-3-2 4-2-3-1 · ITA

17 Postolachi

📊 Statistics

MOL 0 – 2 ITA

23%

Possession (%)

77%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

66%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Italy won 2–0 away at Moldova. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 9 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.98 units (Brier 0.100).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 9 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.98	—	55%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Draw	17.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	3.65	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.40	—	32%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
AH Away +1	1.07	—	95%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	98%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Away Win	1.08	—	92%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	76.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.01	—	98%	Cashed	+0.01	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	88%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.01	—	92%	Cashed	+0.01	Cashed
BTTS No	1.33	—	68%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.38	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	8.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 5 L	−0.98u	−7% ROI