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Home World World Cup - Qualification Europe Northern Ireland — Slovakia

Predictions Northern Ireland vs Slovakia October 10, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Home · last 5 W L L W L
Kick-off
Fri 10 Oct · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Slovakia
Slovakia
L W W L L Away · last 5
Windsor Park · Belfast Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Home Win · NOR
37%
Best 2.47
Draw
30%
Best 2.88
Away Win · SLO
33%
Best 3.31
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.35
Fair odds
3.03
book 3.35 · +10.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +10.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (37%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 33%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 30%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 67%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 63%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
NOR – SLO @ 3.35
+10.6%
Edge
Forecast →