Match Iceland vs Ukraine October 10, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.12 — +8.1% better than the market.

Iceland vs Ukraine — data-driven preview

Ukraine rate stronger on overall level and recent output, while Iceland lean on home advantage and direct pressure in bursts. Expect a fairly open game: transitions on both sides, set-piece threat for the hosts, and the visitors carrying the cleaner chance quality. Our baseline tilts to Ukraine in an above-average totals environment, with the draw live if the match stalls around the box.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.12 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 47% +1.12u

+112%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ICE 4-4-2 · UKR 4-1-4-1

ICE · 4-4-2 4-1-4-1 · UKR

9 Magnússon

📊 Statistics

ICE 3 – 5 UKR

65%

Possession (%)

35%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ukraine won 5–3 away at Iceland. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 5 landed and 2 missed, for a net +2.56 units (Brier 0.168).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 5 W · 2 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.12	—	51%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.37	—	76%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Away Win	2.48	—	42%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	56%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.76	—	58%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Home Win	3.19	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 2 L	+2.56u	+37% ROI