Match Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg December 13, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 17.00 — +14.0% better than the market.

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum and defensive solidity could be decisive. Gladbach's defensive resilience contrasts with Wolfsburg's more vulnerable backline, giving the hosts a slight tactical edge. Despite Wolfsburg's better recent form, Gladbach's home comfort and pressing intensity may limit their attacking threat.

Home defensive compactness vs away offensive pressure
Recent form favors Wolfsburg but home edge balances
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 17.00 ✗ Lost

AI 7% Implied 6% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOE 3-4-2-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1

MOE · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · WOL

15 Tabaković

Subs used · MOE

57'

Mohya ↑ ·

Reyna ↓

57'

Ranos ↑ ·

Castrop ↓

70'

Ullrich ↑ ·

Netz ↓

70'

Stoger ↑ ·

Machino ↓

Subs used · WOL

68'

Svanberg ↑ ·

Wimmer ↓

83'

Vavro ↑ ·

Majer ↓

83'

Pejcinovic ↑ ·

Amoura ↓

90'

Souza ↑ ·

Gerhardt ↓

90+1'

Hensel ↑ ·

Eriksen ↓

📊 Statistics

MOE 1 – 3 WOL

58%

Possession (%)

42%

0.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 3

⚽

P. Wimmer

Assist · L. Majer · 0–1

K. Koulierakis

Own goal · 1–1

⚽

22'

28'

▮

Lovro Majer

Yellow Card

30'

⚽

M. Amoura

1–2

34'

⚽

P. Wimmer

Assist · C. Eriksen · 1–3

Half-time · 1 – 3

W. Mohya ↓ · G. Reyna ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

G. Ranos ↓ · J. Castrop ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

68'

⇄

M. Svanberg ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑

Substitution 1

L. Ullrich ↓ · L. Netz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

K. Stoger ↓ · S. Machino ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

83'

⇄

D. Vavro ↓ · L. Majer ↑

Substitution 2

83'

⇄

D. Pejcinovic ↓ · M. Amoura ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⇄

Vini Souza ↓ · Y. Gerhardt ↑

Substitution 4

90+1'

⇄

P. Hensel ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

VfL Wolfsburg won 3–1 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.80 to 0.75. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3.

On the scoresheet: P. Wimmer (4'), K. Koulierakis (22'), M. Amoura (30'), P. Wimmer (34').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.70 units (Brier 0.258).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.42	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.56	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.05	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.88	—	49%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	53%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.50	—	32%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.78	—	25%	Cashed	+1.78	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.58	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.54	—	56%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.50	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Away Win	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	77%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.70u	−4% ROI