Match FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.76 — +12.9% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with a clear quality edge and a strong winning streak, contrasting with Basel's mixed recent form. Thun's sharper attack faces a Basel defense that has been somewhat vulnerable, suggesting potential for goals. The home side's slight home edge is tempered by Thun's momentum and offensive threat, setting the stage for a competitive clash at St. Jakob-Park.

Thun's offensive pressure against Basel's defense
Basel's home advantage is moderate but challenged
Recent form favors Thun's confidence and rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.76 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 57% +0.76u

+76%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAS 4-3-3 · THU 4-4-2

BAS · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · THU

18 Duranville

📊 Statistics

BAS 1 – 2 THU

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun won 2–1 away at FC Basel 1893. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.83. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.82 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.76	—	64%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	—	62%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.79	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.41	—	39%	Cashed	+1.41	Cashed
Home Win	2.12	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.08	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.86	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.20	—	39%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.12	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.42	—	57%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.44	—	56%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.59	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	77%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.82u	−17% ROI