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Home Switzerland Super League FC Zurich — FC Lugano

Predictions FC Zurich vs FC Lugano December 17, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
Home · last 5 L D W L L
Kick-off
Wed 17 Dec · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W W L D W Away · last 5
Stadion Letzigrund · Zürich Referee Nico Gianforte, Switzerland
Home Win · ZUR
38%
Best 2.70
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · LUG
37%
Best 2.38
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.01
book 4.50 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 37.1%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ZUR – LUG @ 4.50
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →