Match Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim December 7, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.23 — +14.5% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund hosts 1899 Hoffenheim in a tightly matched Bundesliga clash. Dortmund's defensive solidity contrasts with Hoffenheim's sharper attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. Dortmund's home momentum and slight edge in form could tilt the balance, but Hoffenheim's recent winning streak signals resilience. Expect a competitive game with chances at both ends and a moderate tempo suggested by the goal market.

Dortmund's compact defense vs Hoffenheim's offensive threat
Home form advantage and pressing intensity
Balanced quality and a likely open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 5.23 ✗ Lost

AI 22% Implied 19% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · HOF 4-3-1-2

DOR · 3-4-2-1 4-3-1-2 · HOF

9 Guirassy

Subs used · DOR

80'

Chukwuemeka ↑ ·

Brandt ↓

80'

Beier ↑ ·

Adeyemi ↓

90+3'

Ryerson ↑ ·

Couto ↓

90'

Bellingham ↑ ·

Nmecha ↓

90'

Silva ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

Subs used · HOF

62'

Kramaric ↑ ·

Asllani ↓

73'

Tohumcu ↑ ·

Promel ↓

73'

Bebou ↑ ·

Lemperle ↓

80'

Hlozek ↑ ·

Burger ↓

80'

Moerstedt ↑ ·

Toure ↓

📊 Statistics

DOR 2 – 0 HOF

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 0

J. Brandt

Assist · Y. Couto · 1–0

⚽

43'

Half-time · 1 – 0

N. Schlotterbeck

Assist · F. Nmecha · 2–0

⚽

60'

62'

⇄

A. Kramaric ↓ · F. Asllani ↑

Substitution 1

65'

▮

Bernardo

Yellow Card

68'

▮

Albian Hajdari

Yellow Card

73'

⇄

U. Tohumcu ↓ · G. Promel ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

I. Bebou ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑

Substitution 3

C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Brandt ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

80'

M. Beier ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

80'

⇄

A. Hlozek ↓ · W. Burger ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

M. Moerstedt ↓ · B. Toure ↑

Substitution 5

J. Bellingham ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

J. Ryerson ↓ · Y. Couto ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund beat 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: J. Brandt (43'), N. Schlotterbeck (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.69 units (Brier 0.170).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.40	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.27	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.74	—	55%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Home Win	1.66	—	56%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.70	—	34%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	37%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Away Win	5.23	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.58	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.52	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	78%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.53	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	85%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.74	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	20.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	56%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.69u	−22% ROI