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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfL Wolfsburg — Union Berlin

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg Referee Robert Schröder, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.76 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.15 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.97 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
0.81 – 2.15
Δ −1.34
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.76 — +9.8% better than the market.

Union Berlin arrives at Volkswagen Arena with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Wolfsburg's defensive solidity is notable, but their recent home struggles and lower attacking threat may limit goal opportunities. Expect a tactical battle where Union's compact block and efficient counterattacks challenge Wolfsburg's defense.

  • Union's form and quality advantage
  • Wolfsburg's defensive resilience at home
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 4-2-3-1 · UNI 5-3-2
WOL · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · UNI 1 Grabara 26 Kumbedi 14 Seelt 4 Koulierakis 25 Zehnter 31 Gerhardt 27 Arnold 24 Eriksen 10 Majer ⚽ 39 Wimmer ⚽ 9 Amoura ⚽ 1 Rønnow 28 Trimmel 5 Doekhi 14 Querfeld 34 N'Soki ⚽ 39 Köhn 19 Haberer 6 Kemlein 13 Schäfer 11 Jeong 10 Ansah
Subs used · WOL
46' Burger ↑ · Kumbedi ↓
65' Svanberg ↑ · Wimmer ↓
73' Pejcinovic ↑ · Amoura ↓
90+1' Vavro ↑ · Eriksen ↓
90+2' Hensel ↑ · Majer ↓
Subs used · UNI
57' Burke ↑ · Woo-Yeong ↓
57' Ilic ↑ · Schafer ↓
70' Rothe ↑ · Kohn ↓
70' Kral ↑ · Trimmel ↓
78' Burcu ↑ · Nsoki ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 3 – 1 UNI
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.81
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.15
4
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
6
0
Shots off Target
11
3
Shots Inside Box
16
0
Corner Kicks
11
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
11
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 1
P. Wimmer
Assist · M. Amoura · 1–0
⚽
10'
Saël Kumbedi
Yellow Card
▮
22'
M. Amoura
Assist · S. Kumbedi · 2–0
⚽
30'
Half-time · 2 – 0
J. Burger ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Christian Eriksen
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
57'
⇄
O. Burke ↓ · Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
A. Ilic ↓ · A. Schafer ↑
Substitution 2
L. Majer
Assist · C. Eriksen · 3–0
⚽
59'
M. Svanberg ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
68'
⚽
S. Nsoki
3–1
70'
⇄
T. Rothe ↓ · D. Kohn ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
A. Kral ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑
Substitution 4
D. Pejcinovic ↓ · M. Amoura ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
Lovro Majer
Yellow Card
▮
74'
78'
⇄
L. Burcu ↓ · S. Nsoki ↑
Substitution 5
79'
▮
Oliver Burke
Yellow Card
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Yellow Card
▮
89'
D. Vavro ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+1'
P. Hensel ↓ · L. Majer ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

VfL Wolfsburg beat Union Berlin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.81. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 4, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.81 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Wimmer (10'), M. Amoura (30'), L. Majer (59'), S. Nsoki (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.230).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.76 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.97 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.62 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.97 — 47% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 51% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Home Win 2.21 — 38% Cashed +1.21 Cashed
Away Win 3.61 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 64% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.85 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 — 73% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Draw 3.56 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.55 — 38% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.31 — 26% Cashed +2.31 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.47u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
WOL – UNI @ 1.76
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →