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Home Switzerland Super League FC Lugano — FC Zurich

Predictions FC Lugano vs FC Zurich October 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 18:30
1:0
Full-time
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
L D W L L Away · last 5
Stadio di Cornaredo · Lugano Referee Alessandro Dudic, Switzerland
Home Win · LUG
42%
Best 1.90
Draw
23%
Best 3.77
Away Win · ZUR
35%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.25
book 2.30 · +2.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 44% · EV +2.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 35%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 35%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LUG – ZUR @ 2.30
+2.2%
Edge
Forecast →