Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund November 29, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.53 — +9.0% better than the market.

Bayer Leverkusen arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid offensive edge against Dortmund's defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, contrasting with Dortmund's mixed results and defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Dortmund's less effective backline. Expect a lively pace given the goal-friendly odds, favoring an open contest with chances at both ends.

Leverkusen's attacking pressure vs Dortmund's defensive lapses
Home form superiority and confidence
Potential for goals given both teams' offensive capabilities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.53 ✗ Lost

AI 71% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1

BAY · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · DOR

14 Schick

Subs used · BAY

63'

Kofane ↑ ·

Schick ↓

74'

Echeverri ↑ ·

Hofmann ↓

74'

Terrier ↑ ·

Tillman ↓

88'

Quansah ↑ ·

Andrich ↓

88'

Tella ↑ ·

Poku ↓

Subs used · DOR

61'

Silva ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

80'

Couto ↑ ·

Ryerson ↓

80'

Bellingham ↑ ·

Adeyemi ↓

90+1'

Bensebaini ↑ ·

Nmecha ↓

90+1'

Chukwuemeka ↑ ·

Brandt ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 1 – 2 DOR

63%

Possession (%)

37%

0.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.02

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 2

11'

▮

Nico Schlotterbeck

Yellow Card

Malik Tillman

Yellow Card

▮

30'

Edmond Tapsoba

Yellow Card

▮

40'

41'

⚽

A. Anselmino

Assist · D. Svensson · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

54'

▮

Julian Ryerson

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑

Substitution 1

C. Kofane ↓ · P. Schick ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

65'

⚽

K. Adeyemi

Assist · F. Silva · 0–2

C. Echeverri ↓ · J. Hofmann ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

M. Terrier ↓ · M. Tillman ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

80'

⇄

Y. Couto ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

J. Bellingham ↓ · K. Adeyemi ↑

Substitution 3

82'

▮

Fábio Silva

Yellow Card

C. Kofane

Assist · I. Maza · 1–2

⚽

83'

88'

▮

Yan Couto

Yellow Card

J. Quansah ↓ · R. Andrich ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

N. Tella ↓ · E. Poku ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90+1'

⇄

R. Bensebaini ↓ · F. Nmecha ↑

Substitution 4

90+1'

⇄

C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Brandt ↑

Substitution 5

Aleix García

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund won 2–1 away at Bayer Leverkusen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Anselmino (41'), K. Adeyemi (65'), C. Kofane (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.73 units (Brier 0.186).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.62	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.64	—	64%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.47	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.70	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.94	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.46	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.72	—	29%	Cashed	+1.72	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.01	—	29%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.51	—	65%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.59	—	58%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.56	—	54%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	84%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.79	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.25	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.73u	−22% ROI

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund November 29, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.53 — +9.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled