Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell April 11, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.39 — +10.8% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid recent run and a pressing advantage at Tynecastle Park. Their offensive edge against Motherwell's defense suggests controlled chances, while Motherwell's struggles on the road and defensive frailties hint at a compact Hearts setup dominating possession.

Home side's form and attacking edge
Motherwell's defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate pace expected with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.39 ✗ Lost

AI 80% Implied 72% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEA 4-4-2 · MOT 4-2-3-1

HEA · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · MOT

10 Braga

📊 Statistics

HEA 3 – 1 MOT

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat Motherwell 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.92 units (Brier 0.215).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.12	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.99	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.09	—	55%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	44%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	—	41%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.85	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	55%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	20%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	84%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	65%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.84	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.90	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.92u	−17% ROI

Match Heart Of Midlothian vs Motherwell April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.39 — +10.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled