Match Motherwell vs Hibernian March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.42 — +12.1% better than the market.

Motherwell arrives with a clear home edge, bolstered by a solid defensive record that contrasts with Hibernian's more vulnerable backline. Recent form favors Motherwell, who have shown stronger momentum and sharper finishing in their last outings. The tactical battle suggests a compact home block aiming to frustrate Hibernian's attack, while relying on set-piece opportunities to unlock the game.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Motherwell's recent winning momentum
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.42 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 70% +0.42u

+42%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-2-3-1 · HIB 3-4-1-2

MOT · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · HIB

21 Just

📊 Statistics

MOT 0 – 0 HIB

61%

Possession (%)

39%

0.45

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.41

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motherwell and Hibernian drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +11.78 units (Brier 0.285).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.18	—	55%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.08	—	57%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.87	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	44%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.88	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	79%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	14%	Cashed	+11.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	—	34%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	81%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.15	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.65	—	24%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.20	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+11.78u	+69% ROI