Match Celtic vs Motherwell March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.55 — +11.9% better than the market.

Celtic enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum at Celtic Park. Their attacking threat is well-matched against Motherwell's leaky defense, suggesting chances for goals. Despite recent mixed form, Celtic's compact block and set-piece threat could prove decisive. Motherwell's improved recent results hint at resilience, but their defensive struggles away may be exposed.

Home attacking edge vs away defensive vulnerabilities
Recent form favors Celtic's consistency
Moderate pace expected, balancing chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.55 ✗ Lost

AI 72% Implied 65% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CEL 4-2-3-1 · MOT 4-3-3

CEL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · MOT

21 Oxlade-Chamberlain

38 Maeda

📊 Statistics

CEL 3 – 1 MOT

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic beat Motherwell 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.14 to 0.52. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.72 units (Brier 0.168).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.67	—	64%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.32	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.25	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	48%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	47%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	28%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.70	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	64%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.15	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	70%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.69	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.72u	−28% ROI