Match Motherwell vs Dundee Utd February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.47 — +12.0% better than the market.

Motherwell arrives at Fir Park with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge over Dundee Utd. Their robust defense and home comfort create a pressing advantage, while Dundee’s struggles in form and defense suggest a compact, low-scoring affair. Expect Motherwell to control the tempo and limit chances, with a cautious pace hinting at fewer goals.

Home side’s solid defensive shape
Superior recent form and home edge
Dundee’s defensive vulnerabilities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 76% Implied 68% +0.47u

+47%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-3-3 · DUN 3-5-1-1

MOT · 4-3-3 3-5-1-1 · DUN

21 Just

📊 Statistics

MOT 2 – 0 DUN

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motherwell beat Dundee Utd 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 0.17. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.20 units (Brier 0.089).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.98	—	59%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.25	—	54%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.70	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.88	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	76%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.50	—	69%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.60	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.17	—	69%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	83%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	69%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Away Win	6.75	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.18	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.20u	−31% ROI