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Home Scotland Premiership Motherwell — Aberdeen

Predictions Motherwell vs Aberdeen February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 14:30
2:0
Full-time
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
W D W L L Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell Referee D. Dickinson
Home Win · MOT
63%
Best 1.60
Draw
23%
Best 3.95
Away Win · ABE
14%
Best 5.33
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.44
Fair odds
1.29
book 1.44 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 78% · EV +11.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 14.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 33.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 22.4%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 56.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 14.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
MOT – ABE @ 1.44
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →