Match Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian January 11, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.35 — +6.3% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can unlock Dundee's compact defense. Despite Dundee's solid home momentum and recent wins, their defensive resilience will be tested by Hearts' pressing and creativity. The form gap favors the hosts slightly, but Hearts' superior firepower and experience could tilt the balance.

Hearts' attacking threat vs Dundee's defense
Dundee's home form and resilience
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.35 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 74% +0.35u

+35%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

DUN 4-1-4-1 · HEA 4-2-3-1

DUN · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · HEA

11 Hay

📊 Statistics

DUN 0 – 1 HEA

52%

Possession (%)

48%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian won 1–0 away at Dundee. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.40 units (Brier 0.119).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.95	—	59%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	1.74	—	59%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.15	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.76	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.01	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.48	—	70%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	33%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	79%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.11	—	91%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.15	—	70%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	4.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.32	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.90	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.40u	−20% ROI

Match Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian January 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.35 — +6.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled