Match ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.35 — +10.1% better than the market.

Dundee Utd arrive at The SMISA Stadium with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack against ST Mirren's leaky defense. Despite both teams struggling for form recently, Dundee's slightly better momentum and offensive threat suggest they can control the game. The home side's defensive solidity is questionable, and the match pace hints at a cautious approach with limited goal action.

Dundee's attacking pressure vs Mirren's defense
Home side's recent poor form and defensive lapses
Moderate tempo likely limiting scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.35 ✓ Cashed

AI 82% Implied 74% +0.35u

+35%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MIR 3-5-2 · DUN 3-5-2

MIR · 3-5-2 3-5-2 · DUN

11 Ayunga

📊 Statistics

MIR 2 – 0 DUN

39%

Possession (%)

61%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

67%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

ST Mirren beat Dundee Utd 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 78% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.06 units (Brier 0.163).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	—	60%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.45	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.20	—	37%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.95	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.61	—	37%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	82%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.80	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.40	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	63%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Draw	3.58	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	82%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	64%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.06u	−24% ROI