Match Livingston vs Aberdeen November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.34 — +10.3% better than the market.

Livingston hold a clear quality edge and a defensive solidity that could stifle Aberdeen's attack. Despite Aberdeen's better recent form and higher points per game, Livingston's home defensive strength and compact block suggest a tight contest with limited goals. The pace hints at a balanced tempo, favoring disciplined defending over open play.

Livingston's defensive resilience vs Aberdeen's moderate offense
Home momentum contrasted with Aberdeen's recent winning streak
Likely cautious approach with low goal expectancy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.34 ✓ Cashed

AI 82% Implied 75% +0.34u

+34%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · ABE 3-4-2-1

LIV · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · ABE

39 Yengi

📊 Statistics

LIV 0 – 1 ABE

56%

Possession (%)

44%

0.75

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aberdeen won 1–0 away at Livingston. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.75 units (Brier 0.227).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	61%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	2.70	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.95	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.77	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.75	—	28%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.99	—	28%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.48	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	82%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	37%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	55%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	80%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.75u	−4% ROI