Match Hibernian vs Celtic November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.53 — +13.0% better than the market.

Celtic arrive at Easter Road with a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record, likely to challenge Hibernian's home momentum. Despite Hibernian's slightly better recent form, Celtic's stronger attack against Hibernian's defense suggests a tactical battle leaning towards the visitors. The moderate pace implied by odds hints at a controlled game with limited goal bursts.

Hibernian's home edge is modest but present.
Celtic's defensive solidity may stifle Hibernian's offense.
Recent form favors Hibernian slightly, adding intrigue.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.53 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 65% +0.53u

+53%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HIB 3-4-1-2 · CEL 4-3-3

HIB · 3-4-1-2 4-3-3 · CEL

9 Bowie

📊 Statistics

HIB 1 – 2 CEL

40%

Possession (%)

60%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic won 2–1 away at Hibernian. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.49 units (Brier 0.115).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.78	—	62%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	49%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.11	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.64	—	49%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	74%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.26	—	84%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.38	—	62%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Draw	4.21	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	87%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	71%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Home Win	4.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.45	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.49u	−32% ROI