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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — Borussia Dortmund

Predictions Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund November 8, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany
Home Win · HAM
15%
Best 3.70
Draw
21%
Best 3.90
Away Win · DOR
63%
Best 1.91
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.32
book 6.00 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 15.3%
Odds 4.78
Show model details
Implied probability 20.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 15.3%
Odds 3.49
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HAM – DOR @ 6.00
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →