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Home World UEFA Europa League Ferencvarosi TC — Panathinaikos

Match Ferencvarosi TC vs Panathinaikos January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
D D D W L Away · last 5
Groupama Aréna · Budapest Referee Mykola Balakin, Ukraine
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.70
Hit
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 3.60
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.70
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.49 – 0.61
Δ +0.88
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 3.60 — +10.0% better than the market.

Ferencvarosi TC come into this match in strong rhythm and should feel comfortable playing on the front foot at the Groupama Arena. Panathinaikos have enough organisation and counter-attacking threat to keep it competitive, but they may spend long spells without the ball and will need to be sharp in both boxes. Overall, this looks like a close European tie with a slight lean to the home side, while goals are still very much on the table if the game opens up after the first key moment.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 3.60 ✓ Cashed
AI 30% Implied 28% +2.60u
+260%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

FER 11 PAN
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.61
10
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
8
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Ferencvarosi TC and Panathinaikos drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.49 to 0.61. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.20 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 8 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.70 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Draw 3.60 30% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.70 61% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 48% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.90 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 93% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Home Win 2.40 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.20 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.30 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.70 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 6 L +0.20u +1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
FER – PAN @ 3.60
+10.0%
Edge
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