Match PAOK vs Real Betis January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats
PAOK
Home · last 5
D
W
L
L
L
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
2:0
Full-time
Toumba Stadium · Thessaloniki
Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.16
✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.35
✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 36% · book 2.73
✓
xG (open play)
2.86 – 0.59
Δ +2.27
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Draw at 3.68 — +10.0% better than the market.
PAOK are usually hard to break down at Toumba and their game management at home gives them a strong platform. Real Betis bring enough quality in possession to stay competitive, but they can be vulnerable when the match turns into a physical battle and the tempo drops. With both sides comfortable defending first and playing in phases, this looks more like a tight, tactical contest than an end-to-end shootout, with the home team slightly better placed to avoid defeat.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 3.68
✗ Lost
AI 30%
Implied 27%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
PAO 4-2-3-1 · BET 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
PAO 2
– 0 BET
2.86
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.59
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
Match recap
PAOK beat Real Betis 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.86 to 0.59. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -0.48 units (Brier 0.211).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 8 W · 7 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.16 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.16 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.35 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+1.35 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.73 |
— |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.73 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.68 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
— |
79% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.54 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.54 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.81 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.65 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.00 |
— |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.65 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.44 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.90 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.52 |
— |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.95 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 7 L |
−0.48u |
−3% ROI |
