Match Malmo FF vs FK Crvena Zvezda January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
Eleda Stadion · Malmö
Referee Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 72% · book 1.44
✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.16
✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 53% · book 1.90
✗
xG (open play)
0.42 – 1.67
Δ −1.25
AI accuracy
7 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.44 — +4.0% better than the market.
Malmo come into this tie short on confidence and have looked fragile when asked to defend for long spells. Crvena Zvezda arrive in better rhythm, with sharper transitions and more consistent chance creation, so they should be well placed to control the key moments. The away side have a solid route to a result. Goals are possible, but the game profiles better for a controlled away performance rather than a wild shootout.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.44
✓ Cashed
AI 72%
Implied 69%
+0.44u
⛀ Lineups
MAL 4-4-2 · CRV 4-1-4-1
📊 Statistics
MAL 0
– 1 CRV
0.42
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.67
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
Match recap
FK Crvena Zvezda won 1–0 away at Malmo FF. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.42. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 4, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.25 units (Brier 0.216).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
13 · 7 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.44 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.16 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+1.16 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.90 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.86 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.23 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.23 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
3.70 |
— |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.06 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.32 |
— |
73% |
Cashed |
+0.32 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.81 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.67 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
— |
72% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.49 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+0.49 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 13 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
7 W · 6 L |
−1.25u |
−10% ROI |
