Match Ludogorets vs PAOK December 11, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.01 — +4.5% better than the market.

Ludogorets vs PAOK looks like a tight but slightly away-favoured clash. PAOK come into this game with better recent form, more stable attacking output and a defence that usually concedes fewer clear chances, while Ludogorets rely more on short bursts of pressure and home support. The hosts can still score here, but over ninety minutes PAOK’s physicality and counter-attacking threat should give them the edge. From a betting perspective, the safest way to back the visitors is on the Asian handicap lines, while goal markets such as Over 2.5 goals and BTTS also look attractive for this Ludogorets vs PAOK prediction.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.01 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 50% +1.01u

+101%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LUD 4-4-2 · PAO 4-2-3-1

LUD · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · PAO

14 Stanić

📊 Statistics

LUD 3 – 3 PAO

43%

Possession (%)

57%

2.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ludogorets and PAOK drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.18 to 2.18. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.22 units (Brier 0.206).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

18 · 9 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	58%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.01	—	52%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	78%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	29%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Away Win	2.19	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.52	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	3.57	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	73%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.34	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.94	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.75	—	53%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.55	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home +1	1.37	—	67%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Draw	3.57	—	26%	Cashed	+2.57	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 18 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	9 W · 9 L	−0.22u	−1% ROI