Match FK Crvena Zvezda vs FCSB November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 3.01 — +14.0% better than the market.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FCSB looks like a match where the Serbian side should control most of the game at home, but the Romanians have enough attacking quality to be dangerous on the break. Zvezda create more chances in front of their own fans and usually score, while FCSB’s recent European form shows they can find goals away from home. A home win is the likeliest outcome, with a medium total of 2–3 goals and a realistic scoreline around 2–0 or 2–1.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 3.01 ✗ Lost

AI 38% Implied 33% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRV 4-2-3-1 · STE 4-2-3-1

CRV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · STE

89 Arnautović

📊 Statistics

CRV 1 – 0 STE

39%

Possession (%)

61%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FK Crvena Zvezda beat FCSB 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.68. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.62 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.35	—	46%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.01	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.65	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.52	—	70%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.75	—	20%	Cashed	+3.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	82%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.47	—	62%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	46%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.63	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.18	—	62%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.62u	−10% ROI