Match Fenerbahçe vs Ferencvarosi TC November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 17:45
1:1
Full-time
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.71
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 23% · book 5.57
✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 48% · book 2.41
✓
xG (open play)
1.27 – 0.64
Δ +0.63
AI accuracy
9 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 0.5 at 16.00 — +12.0% better than the market.
Fenerbahce look stronger at home and should control most of the ball, but Ferencvaros are in great form and dangerous in transition. We expect an open game with several chances at both ends and a slight edge for the Turkish side.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 16.00
✗ Lost
AI 7%
Implied 6%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
FEN 4-1-4-1 · FER 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
FEN 1
– 1 FER
1.27
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.64
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
Match recap
Fenerbahçe and Ferencvarosi TC drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.27 to 0.64. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.17 units (Brier 0.164).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 9 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.71 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
5.57 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.41 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+1.41 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
16.00 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.34 |
— |
25% |
Cashed |
+3.34 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.74 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.74 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
— |
80% |
Cashed |
+0.22 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
4.13 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.70 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.21 |
— |
77% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.32 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+1.32 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.60 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.16 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.70 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.26 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 9 L |
−1.17u |
−7% ROI |
