Match Plzen vs SC Freiburg November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats
Plzen
Home · last 5
D
D
W
D
D
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 17:45
0:0
Full-time
Doosan Aréna · Plzeň
Referee Morten Krogh, Denmark
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 3.38
✗
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 53% · book 2.41
✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 66% · book 1.70
✓
xG (open play)
1.26 – 0.82
Δ +0.44
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.70 — +12.2% better than the market.
Plzen host SC Freiburg in a balanced European clash where both sides create plenty of chances but can be exposed at the back. The Czech champions are strong at home, while the German visitors travel well in Europe, so we expect an open game with a high chance of goals and the hosts slightly more likely to avoid defeat.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.70
✓ Cashed
AI 66%
Implied 59%
+0.70u
⛀ Lineups
PLZ 3-4-1-2 · FRE 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
PLZ 0
– 0 FRE
1.26
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.82
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
Match recap
Plzen and SC Freiburg drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.
In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.52 units (Brier 0.345).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
3.38 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.41 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.70 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.02 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
11.00 |
— |
10% |
Cashed |
+10.00 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.62 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.37 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.37 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.10 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.78 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.92 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+0.92 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.32 |
— |
78% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.43 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.33 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.52 |
— |
27% |
Cashed |
+2.52 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
90% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.30 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.58 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+2.58 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
+9.52u |
+56% ROI |
