Match Lille vs Dinamo Zagreb November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats
Lille
Home · last 5
W
L
W
L
L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 17:45
4:0
Full-time
Referee John Beaton, Scotland
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.81
✗
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 28% · book 4.75
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 21% · book 6.13
✗
xG (open play)
2.96 – 0.09
Δ +2.87
AI accuracy
9 / 18
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.81 — +9.0% better than the market.
Lille face Dinamo Zagreb in a tight European tie where the French side look slightly stronger at home, but the Croatian champions arrive in good attacking form. Lille should see more of the ball and create steady pressure, while Dinamo remain dangerous on counters and set pieces, so we can expect a balanced game with chances at both ends and a decent risk of goals.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.81
✗ Lost
AI 60%
Implied 55%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
LIL 4-2-3-1 · ZAG 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
LIL 4
– 0 ZAG
2.96
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.09
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
Match recap
Lille beat Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.96 to 0.09. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.25 units (Brier 0.160).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
18 · 9 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.81 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
4.75 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
6.13 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.67 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.66 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
15.50 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.70 |
— |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
68% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.29 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.73 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.73 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.23 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.23 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home +1 |
1.04 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.16 |
— |
79% |
Cashed |
+0.16 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.21 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.70 |
— |
32% |
Cashed |
+1.70 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.58 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.58 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.06 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
9 W · 9 L |
−4.25u |
−24% ROI |