Match Aston Villa vs BSC Young Boys November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 17:45
2:1
Full-time
Villa Park · Birmingham
Referee Georgi Kabakov, Bulgaria
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.90
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 16% · book 7.62
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 28% · book 4.90
✗
xG (open play)
2.03 – 0.31
Δ +1.72
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.88 — +3.4% better than the market.
Aston Villa come into this Europa League clash with BSC Young Boys as clear favourites at Villa Park. The English side look stronger across all lines, create more pressure at home and have the firepower to decide the match early, while the Swiss champions will rely on quick transitions and set pieces to keep the tie alive.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.88
✓ Cashed
AI 55%
Implied 53%
+0.88u
⛀ Lineups
AST 4-2-3-1 · YOU 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
AST 2
– 1 YOU
2.03
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.31
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
Match recap
Aston Villa beat BSC Young Boys 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.03 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 6, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.23 units (Brier 0.084).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS No |
1.90 |
— |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
7.62 |
— |
16% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
4.90 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
11.50 |
— |
14% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.40 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.40 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.07 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.13 |
— |
87% |
Cashed |
+0.13 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.00 |
— |
47% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
14.50 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.06 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.24 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.24 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.02 |
— |
97% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.04 |
— |
86% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.88 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.88 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
3.11 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
6.75 |
— |
13% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
26.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−6.23u |
−37% ROI |
