Match Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 06 Nov · 20:00
3:1
Full-time
Groupama Aréna · Budapest
Referee Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 2.23
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 24% · book 5.24
✗
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 10% · book 12.80
✗
xG (open play)
1.95 – 0.67
Δ +1.28
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.23 — +10.0% better than the market.
At Groupama Arena, Ferencváros carry the stronger five-game rhythm and a steadier chance profile. Ludogorets can punch in transition, but the hosts should control more phases and territory. Expect a measured game that tilts to the home side unless an early goal opens the tempo.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.23
✗ Lost
AI 49%
Implied 45%
−1.00u
📊 Statistics
FER 3
– 1 LUD
1.95
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.67
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
Match recap
Ferencvarosi TC beat Ludogorets 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.10 units (Brier 0.191).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.23 |
— |
49% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
5.24 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
12.80 |
— |
10% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.10 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.05 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.00 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.38 |
— |
70% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.45 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+2.45 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.00 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
— |
90% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.73 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.73 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.30 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.95 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.90 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.90 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.21 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
3.60 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.30 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−3.10u |
−18% ROI |
